Now, that we are officially into the new year 2019, why not do something more important. Get sober!

In my experience, an average investor is not sober. He has a terrible repulsion to numbers. Logical reasoning also sounds alien to him. In fact, he is always on the lookout for that shortcut, trick, tip or anything, even a hearsay, that can get him the highest, best, hottest results.

Cut to the chase, the point here is that investor’s behaviour becomes the key input for the results he gets. Garbage in, garbage out! But if you work upon it, you can create significant alpha – we call it the behavioural alpha.

Unovest dedicates year 2019 to help you generate more of behavioural alpha. The market alpha is not in our control so lets focus on what we can.

Since this is the first day of the year, I want to get you working right away. I expect you will play your part well too. You see, it takes 1 and 1 to make 2.

I am sharing 2 questions for you. Clearly, they are not straightforward. They need you to apply reasoning and a bit of primary mathematics to derive a good result.

Now, the important thing here is not the final result but the process. That’s what you have to focus on.

If you share your process and reasoning with us in the comments (without looking at others’), you might just get rewarded.

So, here we go!

**Question 1**: This is from the movies. If you have seen the mega block buster, Baahubali, both parts, there are two Baahubalis – the father (Amarendra Baahubali) and the son (Mahendra Baahubali).

What is the likely age difference between the two? What is the age of Mahendra Bahubali?

No, the movie does not give that out explicitly. So, you have to work with the facts to reach the answer. Approximation is fine.

**Question 2**: I am sure you remember one of the primary math equation, Distance = Speed * Time. Well, let’s see how do you apply to this situation.

Two trains 120 kms apart are traveling toward each other along the same track. The first train goes 60 kms per hour; the second train rushes along at 90 kms per hour. A fly is hovering just above the nose of the first train. It buzzes from the first train to the second train, turns around immediately, flies back to the first train, and turns around again. It goes on flying back and forth between the two trains until they collide. If the fly’s speed is 12 kms per hour, how far will it travel?

*(Yes, you can google this but that’s not the point, right! You are taking just another shortcut.)*

I am hoping again that you will share your reasoning and results with me.

Finally, this year 2019, Unovest will explicitly focus on creating behavioural alpha that will impact you as well as your investments. You got a taste of it today, hopefully.

ANURAG CHATURVEDI

1. May be 23 years.

2. May be 12 km. Just a guess.

Vipin Khandelwal

Hi Anurag, reasoning please 🙂

Vishwanath M

Answer1. 25 years. Amarendra’s mother is prisoned for 25 years and it roughly takes him 25 years to look like his father. Thus, his father must have been 25 years when he was born. Thus, age difference should be about 25 years.

Answer 2. 9.6 kms. Shouldn’t it be ‘Distance = speed x time’ instead of ‘space x time’ in the post?

Vipin Khandelwal

Thanks for the correction Vishwanath. On Baahubali, there is another way to approach the issue.

Shekar

Solution 1: No idea, guessing Mahendra Bahubali age to be 27 years.

Solution 2 : It takes 48 Minutes for trains to colide, and as fly speed is .2 km/h it will travel 48*.2 = 9.6kms

Kesav

1. Age difference is around 23 years. Reasioning: The rajamatha of mahismati do praja Sankalp Yagam for every 24 years. After shivagami does the Yagam,Amarendra goes for his tour to devasena Rajyam and spends around 1 month and returns to mahismati and gets marry to devasena. Mahendra borns after around 10 or 12 months. So again after 24 years(by the time Mahendra will be 23 years) devasena does prajasankalpa Yagam. So he will be around 23 y.

2. Fly will travel 9.6km by the time two trains collide.

Reasioning:

• The differential speed of two trains=90+60=150 km/hr

• Total distance between two trains=120km

• Two trains will collide after time of= 120km/150kmph=0.8 hr

• fly (with speed 12kmph) will cover the distance during this time= 12kmph x 0.8 hr= 9.6 km

Kesav

Small correction For 1. Age difference will be around 25. Mahendra age will be around 23

Vipin Khandelwal

Solid reasoning, Kesav.

Venkatesh TS

1. Age difference : Roughly – 0.

Reasoning : Both characters were just getting married. If the question is more about if both father and son were alive at the same time what would be their age difference, then perhaps 25-30 would be appropriate

2. Distance travelled by fly- perhaps 9.8km

Reasoning : Together the trains are running at 150km/h. A distance of 120km will be covered in 120/150 of an hr i.e. 4/5hrs… With 12km/hr speed the fly will do 4/5*12 ~9.6km

Vipin Khandelwal

Venkatesh, you might want to read other comments as well for perspectives.

Pankaj Tanna

1 bahubali no answer

2 the trains will collide in 48 minutes. However since both the trains are travelling at a higher speed than the Fly the fly will be left behind !

Pankaj

Vipin Khandelwal

Thanks Pankaj. Do check out other responses as well.